Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 98577.146227 103888.025108 109193.620333 114888.135446 120823.472577 126823.860780 133344.914261
2025-09-28 89458.189941 97560.286832 105876.501890 115039.863132 124842.442094 135003.589392 146321.741119
2025-10-05 84196.068175 94318.378143 104929.832385 116861.582561 129881.725675 143635.890182 159241.311532
2025-10-12 80014.893362 91674.561805 104114.998149 118340.008732 134117.921703 151044.285249 170537.512001
2025-10-19 76189.289449 89041.971344 102969.351559 119129.527041 137309.091217 157072.511299 180125.434519
2025-10-26 72539.418499 86325.600134 101476.299778 119289.966693 139585.615248 161912.411911 188252.175473
2025-11-02 69550.021460 84155.622062 100414.925166 119763.504037 142062.569304 166856.279119 196404.834858
2025-11-09 66603.940065 81866.225294 99063.863611 119761.044745 143871.030151 170944.699985 203514.381315
2025-11-16 64651.365431 80620.588909 98815.790739 120939.664808 146963.051947 176447.553836 212217.917322
2025-11-23 62151.425059 78608.632486 97564.929995 120846.256603 148490.414183 180082.896512 218723.266220
2025-11-30 60805.594648 77904.004751 97794.287898 122444.818712 151964.087981 185961.706828 227846.678351
2025-12-07 59250.178185 76872.021324 97569.195799 123445.850710 154688.337749 190939.746526 235913.479940
2025-12-14 57293.586546 75300.119614 96658.456695 123602.003175 156404.716936 194754.946448 242668.289363
2025-12-21 55473.884986 73833.693891 95820.908104 123799.765784 158138.138859 198576.588754 249441.048064
2025-12-28 54651.100042 73572.547338 96429.208866 125742.354048 161978.445671 204929.463140 259279.801701
2026-01-04 53705.434385 73113.788413 96758.265906 127313.873074 165351.787595 210723.352728 268471.548339
2026-01-11 52468.423885 72236.792007 96525.136655 128152.453692 167800.101811 215387.907682 276306.201410
2026-01-18 50988.359829 70996.954135 95790.775957 128322.864358 169389.320342 218986.914221 282841.023586
2026-01-25 49739.095805 70014.705027 95345.749441 128825.566802 171369.646955 223056.001409 289960.202120
2026-02-01 48327.479756 68775.312774 94531.970740 128822.960735 172686.841889 226290.124565 296048.754224
2026-02-08 47533.993712 68325.418749 94711.630146 130074.029846 175580.371949 231486.587078 304595.112827
2026-02-15 46200.289302 67115.146360 93868.904396 129974.885001 176731.755214 234494.636527 310414.401542
2026-02-22 45680.940238 66981.103205 94417.564984 131671.513393 180180.820476 240399.320539 319895.146878